June 24, 2004

Nuclear mullahs

David Warren pens the scariest article I’ve read in a long time, Nuclear mullahs:

That it is close to success [in completing its nuclear weapons program – DB] is indicated by every particle of information reaching the West -- and indeed more noise on the subject is being made currently by the United Nations' International Atomic Energy Agency than by the Bush administration, which would rather not have it as an election issue. The Iranians have been caught red-handed with at least two large undeclared nuclear research facilities, and have stonewalled IAEA inspectors in the Saddamite manner. They also occasionally gloat that they will soon be members of the "nuclear club", and ought to be accepted.

Alternatively, I'm fairly certain the Israelis, this time, aren't up to the job that they performed in 1981, taking out Saddam's nuclear reactor at Osirak in time, to a chorus of world outrage. It is too large for them -- the Iranian nuclear programme is dispersed over too many sites, and most of them are out of range of the IAF's strike aircraft, which would anyway have to overfly too many hostile or uncooperative countries. And yet the very survival of Israel must be brought into question, once the ayatollahs have The Bomb.

The US would be able to survive a nuclear first strike, even if Iran could somehow deliver its nuclear weapons halfway around the world. Israel, however, is within striking distance, and it couldn’t.

Posted by David Boxenhorn at June 24, 2004 09:26 AM
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